2026-01-12 05:23:43

In the past 24 hours, both Bitcoin and Ethereum have risen, while altcoins showed mixed performance, and the total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies slightly increased to $3.11 trillion. Behind this rally, the expectations of a "soft landing" in the macroeconomy and prospects of interest rate cuts have played a significant role. Continuous net inflows into Bitcoin spot ETFs and institutional capital influx have also provided strong support.

The three major US stock indices all advanced, with rising expectations of Fed rate cuts and strong performance of leading AI industry chain stocks serving as the main drivers. Meanwhile, risk aversion sentiment has clearly increased—gold and silver advanced together, crude oil rose slightly, and the US dollar index slightly retreated.

Key points to watch:

1. Geopolitical tensions remain sensitive. The Trump administration's statements on Middle East affairs triggered volatility in global risk assets, with demand for safe-haven assets continuing to rise. The performance of gold and silver reflects the market’s pricing of uncertainty.

2. New developments in crypto regulation. The US SEC has officially indicated that cryptocurrency regulations will soon undergo large-scale adjustments, which could lead to significant changes in the regulatory framework of the entire industry. Policy signals should be closely monitored.

3. TRUMP token risk warning. On January 18, approximately 50 million TRUMP tokens will be unlocked, worth about $271 million, accounting for nearly 12% of the circulating supply. There is a clear risk of selling pressure, so caution is advised in the short term.

4. Other coin updates. The Chinese Meme token "laozi" surged significantly within 24 hours, while tokens like GUN and SPACE ID experienced larger declines. This market volatility has indeed been substantial.

On the macro level, this week’s key points include the start of the US earnings season, and the release of December CPI and PPI data. Currently, the Crypto Fear & Greed Index stands at 27 (Fear), CNN Fear & Greed Index at 51 (Neutral), and the VIX volatility index at 14.49 (Neutral). Overall, the market is still adjusting.

It is recommended to consider current geopolitical uncertainties, diversify risk appropriately, and manage risk carefully.

BTC-0.31%

ETH0.15%

TRUMP-0.49%

GUN-1.73%

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ApeEscapeArtist

· 3h ago

Yeah, TRUMP is going to explode, 50 million tokens unlocking and expected to drop sharply. --- What is this meme about Laozi? Why are people still trading Chinese coins? --- The rate cut expectations are so hot, but geopolitical risks are causing trouble again. This market really feels a bit tough. --- ETF net inflows are holding up, institutions are also entering, it doesn't look so pessimistic. --- They said they would regulate and adjust, but still no clear news, so annoying. --- After listening to the soft landing for so long, there's finally some movement, but it's better to be cautious. --- Gold and silver rising together—what does this mean? Are everyone still panicking? --- GUN and SPACE ID have dropped so much; there must be quite a few who cut losses. --- The Fear and Greed Index at 27 is really panic; don't rush to buy the dip. --- CPI and PPI are coming out this week, it feels like there might be some new developments.

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blockBoy

· 3h ago

Institutional funds are really coming in, it seems the rate cut expectations are indeed not fake. With TRUMP's 50 million tokens unlocking, I'm just waiting to see who will take the bait haha. SEC is going to adjust regulations? Here we go again, regulation has always been a pretext for good news. Has Laozi gone crazy? Not quite yet, another meme coin hype. Gold and silver are rising together, it feels like the risk aversion sentiment has indeed increased, I'm a bit uneasy. Currently, the fear and greed index is at 27, I'm still a bit anxious, need to be cautious. Diversified allocation sounds easy to say, but I'm worried that spreading out might cause us to miss the market opportunity. ETF continues to see net inflows, it seems institutions are not that pessimistic, which makes me feel more at ease.

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WealthCoffee

· 3h ago

Institutional entry is different, the total market capitalization has risen again Keep a close eye on TRUMP's unlock, 50 million tokens are about to be released... The SEC's actions are really quick, is the regulatory shoe about to drop? Laozi is quite interesting, the profit-making effect is still there Right now, it's the interest rate cut logic supporting the market, don't be too greedy, keep some positions to handle uncertainties

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OfflineValidator

· 3h ago

Is the rate cut really coming? Should I enter now or get cut? Trump's 50 million tokens unlocked, definitely a signal of dumping the market. Is Laozi's price surging wildly? Another meme scam, haha. The SEC is about to adjust regulations; regulatory agencies are really idle. Safe-haven assets are soaring together, even gold is rising, the market is indeed panicking. Institutions are aggressively buying spot ETFs, this signal is quite strong. Is the soft landing expectation really that effective? Feels a bit uneasy. Altcoins have fallen to the dogs, while mainstream coins are still fragrant. GUN and SPACE ID are exploding directly, it's time to clear out the air coins. Geopolitical tensions make people rush to buy gold, classic move. The valuation index at 27 shows panic is indeed low, actually thinking about bottom fishing. Earnings season kicks off tomorrow, can the US stock market hold up this time?

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OnchainDetective

· 3h ago

The crypto market sentiment has shifted. Is this rate cut expectation genuine or just another trap to harvest retail investors? Wait, TRUMP token unlocks 50 million tokens on January 18th? Isn't that a ticking time bomb? Be careful not to get caught off guard in the short term. The expectation of a soft landing + institutional entry sounds promising, but with such sensitive geopolitical tensions, can we really feel at ease? Laozi's meme coin has an outrageous surge, probably the next FOMO trap. Just stick to safe-haven assets honestly. The Fear & Greed Index is only at 27 and still in fear, indicating the market hasn't truly stabilized yet. The rebound of Bitcoin and Ethereum might just be a trap to lure more investors.

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