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These past few days have been a bit overwhelming due to a series of events. The crypto market is still digesting the previous wave of volatility, and new variables are emerging from afar. The trade tensions in the US haven't been resolved yet, with tariffs hanging in the balance. Even more explosive is that regulatory agencies are taking things to court—questioning whether those sudden tariff policies back then crossed the line.
In simple terms: decision-makers imposed tariffs to pressure trade, and now the judicial system is scrutinizing those policies. If the court rules against them, the impact could be significant—The US government would not only lose $100 billion in tariff revenue but also have to pay billions of dollars in compensation to affected companies. Such a situation would be a huge hole in the national finances.
You might think this is just US domestic politics and has nothing to do with our wallets. I have to be honest—it's a big deal. Over the years of navigating the crypto market, I’ve seen many policy fluctuations directly impact coin prices. This trade policy controversy could trigger chain reactions, mainly reflected in three aspects:
First is the collective downturn of risk assets. When policy uncertainty amplifies, it’s like a sword hanging overhead—risk assets tend to be the first to react. Historical data is right here—during previous trade tariff escalations, Bitcoin plunged by 6.69%, and Ethereum fared even worse, dropping over 9%. This isn’t the most extreme market movement, but it’s enough to illustrate the point. The greater the ambiguity in policy, the stronger the market’s defensive response.