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#预测市场 Recently, I found something interesting on Polymarket! 🤔 The probability of Haskett becoming the next Federal Reserve Chair has risen to 61%. What does this mean? It feels like the market's attention on this matter is extremely high.
I used to not understand how prediction markets work, but I later realized that it's about betting real money on the likelihood of future events. The probability distribution for the Fed Chair candidate this time is particularly interesting—Wosh 21%, Waller 10%, with the rest split among other candidates. It seems the market is really optimistic about Haskett's chances 😆.
Moreover, Trump might appoint a new chair as early as the first week of January. Such a close timeline? It feels like there will be many variables in the next two weeks. Can any experts explain how changes in the Fed Chair might affect the crypto world? I'm still a bit confused, but I'm increasingly interested in this "voting" style of using data! If you're also paying attention to this event, let's discuss it together 💭.