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Matrixport: Cryptocurrency market volatility in 2026 is likely to increase significantly, making it difficult to form a sustained unilateral trend.
Deep Tide TechFlow News, on January 4th, Matrixport released its 2026 crypto industry outlook, stating that "2026 may become a critical turning point for the crypto market: amid the Federal Reserve reshuffle, weakening employment, and policy disruptions during election years, market volatility could significantly increase. On the macro side, monthly CPI and employment data, multiple updates to the SEP and FOMC meetings, as well as potential government shutdown risks, may collectively amplify cross-asset volatility; on the crypto side, the final implementation phase of MiCA in Europe, major protocol upgrades, Mt.Gox repayment deadlines, and the December ‘approximately 15 months before the next halving’ inflection window could also serve as key triggers.
It is highly unlikely that 2026 will form a sustained unidirectional trend. With dense risk events and frequent overlapping policy windows, macro and crypto catalysts will emerge and alternate in leading market pricing. Investors need to stay flexible, actively manage positions and risk exposure, and adjust allocations in phases around key policy windows, with hedging when necessary.