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Recently, the topics of Bitcoin and gold remain hot in the market, with many discussing the prospects of these two safe-haven assets. A recent statement by the Federal Reserve Chair drew attention: he believes that Bitcoin's true competitor is not the US dollar, but gold. This judgment immediately caused a stir in the investment community.
Looking at specific data, the Bitcoin-to-gold ratio has experienced a significant correction this year—dropping from around 40 ounces at the beginning of the year to about 21 ounces now. What does this change indicate? The recent surge in gold prices is indeed quite fierce; it seems to have sensed signals of economic uncertainty first, attracting a large influx of funds seeking stability.
But Bitcoin's story is different. Although more volatile, it possesses characteristics that gold cannot match—extreme scarcity, real-time verifiability, natural cross-border accessibility, and 24/7 liquidity. Many institutional investors see it as an upgraded safe-haven tool for the digital age, a perception that has become increasingly common in recent years.
Interestingly, these two are not necessarily in direct competition. After a century of refinement, gold's stability is impeccable; although Bitcoin is only over a decade old, it can offer asymmetric upside potential in an inflationary environment. Gold often moves first when market pressure begins to surface, while Bitcoin tends to follow later, exploding once liquidity recovers. The rotation of funds between these two assets, to some extent, reflects the market's reassessment of risk.
The recent leadership of gold may be laying the groundwork for Bitcoin's next opportunity. If history repeats itself, we are likely to see funds gradually shift from defensive positions to growth-oriented ones. When that happens, the market will reveal which is the true store of value through action. For now, it seems this "rotation dance" of assets has only just begun.