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#数字资产动态追踪 BTC 1-Hour Triple Resonance Signal Worth Noting—Technical Breakthrough, On-Chain Activity, and Market Expectations Overlap
I have analyzed the latest BTC 1-hour candlestick trend, connecting technical indicators, on-chain performance, and recent market movements. There are a few points worth paying attention to.
Clear Signs of Technical Breakthrough
The price has already broken above 89,662.9, successfully surpassing the upper band of the Bollinger Bands (89,509.5). At the same time, a golden cross has appeared on the short-term moving averages, indicating a gradually forming bullish pattern. The MACD histogram has expanded to 184.7, with DIF remaining above DEA, which usually signals that upward momentum is accelerating. Trading volume has also increased, reaching 11.15 million, with good price-volume coordination.
Looking upward, 89,900 is a key resistance (previous high). If the hourly chart can hold above this level, the upside space will open directly. Support below is around 89,000 (congested moving average zone). As long as this level holds, the upward trend remains intact.
What On-Chain Data Tells
Net outflows from exchanges have been increasing, indicating funds are leaving exchanges and flowing into cold wallets. Meanwhile, large wallets are accumulating more, suggesting institutions and big players are starting a "accumulation mode." The number of active addresses on the network has also hit a new high, and on-chain settlement value continues to rise, pointing to capable participants quietly positioning themselves.
Market News Supports the Outlook
The Federal Reserve’s expectation of interest rate cuts in 2026 is heating up, and the global liquidity environment is becoming more relaxed, which is favorable for risk assets. Bitcoin spot ETF continues to see inflows, traditional financial institutions are increasing participation, and regulatory attitudes are becoming more open. These factors together inject considerable enthusiasm into the market.
For Short-Term Trends
After breaking above 89,900, the upward target can be seen in the 91,000-92,000 range (based on Bollinger Band expansion and Fibonacci retracement levels). For risk control, it is recommended to set a stop-loss at 88,500 (EMA30 support). If this level is broken, a reassessment is needed.
Don’t rush to chase during a pullback. If there is a rebound in the 89,000-89,300 area, it could be a better opportunity to add positions.
Overall, BTC is currently in a stage of technical breakthrough, on-chain accumulation, and positive news simultaneously. The market pace is fast, and the window for trend capture is limited.