2026-01-02 09:30:10

#数字资产动态追踪 Can BTC Break Through the Deadlock? The Old Routine of MA200 Rebound Is About to Repeat

Looking at BTC's chart, it is firmly stuck at the end of the bottom triangle. There is little room for upward or downward fluctuation, and this frustrating situation has lasted too long.

After the New Year, the first quarter of 2026 seems to be brewing some big moves. A quick review of historical records reveals the pattern — in every full cycle since 2011, there has always been a daily MA200 rebound at the bottom of the bear market. June 2014, May 2018, March 2022 — this show has played out repeatedly.

Interestingly, the 4-year cycle often comes with an "early start" characteristic. Each rebound occurs earlier than expected. Extrapolating this rhythm, the MA200 rebound in 2026 is likely to happen in January or February.

The bottom energy has been accumulating for quite some time. This Q1 rebound opportunity is indeed worth paying close attention to.

$BTC

BTC2.44%

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AirdropBuffet

· 8h ago

Stuck at the end of the triangle for so long, if it doesn't move soon, I might really start questioning life. Is this just another repeat of history? Could it be just air again this time? I've heard about MA200's early rebound many times, but it has never actually rebounded. Wait, according to the 4-year cycle logic, doesn't that mean the market should have already moved? Bottom accumulation energy, but I feel like it's just dragging its feet. The end of the triangle has been stifling for so long, either a big rise or a big fall—I'm not convinced about the middle route. It's another case of history repeating itself. What happened to those who said this last time?

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ChainSherlockGirl

· 8h ago

Is this the same old script again? Is the MA200 rebound really that accurate? Hearing about history repeating itself has my ears getting calloused. But the data is right here, and in the past 11 years, it really hasn't missed much. If January and February are really coming, I need to keep an eye on the wallet address movements, so I don't get fooled again by this setup triggering early. It's frustrating, but the idea of bottom accumulation sounds pretty reliable. I'm just worried it might be another false breakout, and then we continue to stay on the floor.

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