2025-12-24 17:29:04

Forecast market data shows an interesting phenomenon: the probability of Gold breaking through to $5000 has now surged to 74%, while the probability of ETH reaching that price level in the same period is relatively lower. This comparison has sparked much discussion in the crypto community—by the end of June 2026, which will outperform: traditional precious metals or Ethereum has become a key focus for many traders. The data comes from real-time participant pricing in prediction markets, reflecting market participants' differing expectations for the future performance of these two major assets.

ETH-0.36%

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ThatsNotARugPull

· 4h ago

Gold has a 74% chance of breaking 5k, is ETH still behind? Fine, traditional assets are still the mainstream. --- Something's off. Gold is so strong, why is ETH still hesitating? Who's feeding the dog here? --- Prediction markets are playing the probability game again. Can we really trust this data... Anyway, I don't have either, haha. --- Wait, is the 74% real? Feels like the market's expectations for gold are a bit outrageous this time. --- That's why I'm still holding. I don't want to miss out on either traditional metals or crypto. --- By June 2026? Bro, are you serious about this time span? --- The probability for gold seems overestimated. I don't trust the prediction market's set. --- Another "who will outperform" contest. So boring.

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NFTArtisanHQ

· 4h ago

hmm so gold's getting 74% while eth's lagging... one might argue this reflects a fascinating paradigm shift in how market participants price traditional scarcity versus digital provenance. the meta-narrative here is worth deconstructing tbh

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MindsetExpander

· 4h ago

Gold has a 74% probability of breaking through 5000, and ETH is still behind? This prediction market is quite interesting... Traditional assets are still more stable, but who knows before 2026, the crypto market can turn on a dime. Wait, no, this data is participant pricing, which means big players have a good sense of the situation... Hold on, is it really that difficult for ETH to reach 5000? Something feels off. Gold is indeed more stable, but ETH's potential shouldn't be so low... Why is this prediction market so bearish on Ethereum right now?

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notSatoshi1971

· 4h ago

Gold has a 74% chance of breaking 5000? The ETH market clearly lacks confidence, which is a bit outrageous.

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AirdropworkerZhang

· 4h ago

Gold has a 74% chance to break 5k, ETH still needs to keep pushing, the gap is a bit large --- 74% vs low probability, traditional assets are confident, but ETH doubling is still possible later on --- Are the market prediction data real? I think it will go up sooner or later, the key is who moves first --- Wait, can gold really reach 5000? Then I’ll have to keep holding my small amount of ETH --- I don’t know who will win by the end of 2026, but anyway, those betting everything on ETH now are just betting on a story --- Listening to the 74% thing is just for fun, prediction markets could reverse tomorrow, I’ve seen it too many times --- Interesting, precious metals are stable, crypto is a gamble, this market is really diverging

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