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December 25th Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Analysis and Trading Strategies
Currently, the market seems to have no surprises, just oscillating within a range. The market framework is clear, and my approach is straightforward—when the price approaches the 88,000 level, I go short; near 85,000, I consider going long. Each time I enter a trade, I don’t be greedy—aiming for around 1,000 points profit, I close the position immediately. During the Christmas holiday period, trading volume in European and American markets is already sparse, so there's no need to force trades in this environment. I expect the market to maintain this rhythm until Friday.
Looking at the daily chart, consecutive bearish candles are evident, and the overall structure clearly indicates a downtrend, with bearish sentiment prevailing.
On the hourly chart, the market has entered a consolidation phase. $BTC is oscillating around the $87,000 level, with volatility noticeably narrowing. This kind of movement usually signals that a short-term direction is about to be chosen. Technically, the MACD remains below the zero line, with DIF and DEA in negative territory, indicating that the bearish momentum has not yet reversed. However, a detail worth noting is that the green momentum bars are shrinking, which suggests that the downward force may be gradually weakening.
Liquidity is tight during the holiday period, making it difficult for the market to break out. Based on the current technical structure, the bears still hold dominance, but the downward momentum has already softened. Since the price is in a key consolidation zone, a cautious approach is advisable.
Specific trading ideas:
$BTC:
• Long in the 87,000-86,800 range, with stop-loss below 85,200, targeting 87,500-88,300
• Short in the 88,400-87,500 range, with stop-loss above 89,100, targeting 86,600-85,800
$ETH:
• Short in the 2,975-2,930 range, with stop-loss above 3,010, targeting 2,890-2,860
• Long in the 2,855-2,880 range, with stop-loss below 2,800, targeting 2,930-2,960
Trading is always a game of probabilities, and risk management should always come first.