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美联储明年1月降息概率仅13.3%,维持不变概率86.7%
【比推】联储1月降息概率刚出最新数据。根据CME美联储观察工具的最新读数,明年1月美联储降息25个基点的可能性只有13.3%,反倒是维持当前利率的概率高达86.7%。换句话说,市场这边更多还是在押注美联储会继续按兵不动。这对后续的加密市场流动性预期会有一定影响,特别是在宏观环境偏紧的背景下。