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#美联储回购协议计划 During the holiday, the liquidity has tightened, which just gives everyone a chance to breathe. In the past two days, the US stock market has been closed, so let's discuss the trading strategies and market analysis together.
The overall situation is still fluctuating. During the holiday period in the United States, there has been basically no negative information, and BlackRock has also stopped its selling operations, instead recently increasing its holdings in Bitcoin and Ethereum. The current sluggish market is mainly a residual effect of the adjustment on October 11. To regain bullish confidence, positive signals from policies are needed. I remain bullish on the overall trend for next year, and we should see some proactive actions after the holiday, so there is no need to be overly pessimistic.
In recent days, Bitcoin has been fluctuating between the range of 8600 to 9100. In a low liquidity environment, the main players often take advantage of holidays to create spikes to harvest liquidity. It is recommended that traders use stop-loss orders for one-sided positions or adopt a light position combined with a replenishment strategy; the key is still position control. I tend to favor long positions at lower levels. From a short-term perspective, the bottom should be nearby. If the current support level is not broken during the holiday, there is a high probability of a rapid surge after a drop—liquidity accumulation has been particularly sufficient, and the main players are on the verge of liquidation. I am bullish on this round.
**$BTC Operation Plan:**
Short positions are aggressive near 87800, and a drop of 400 points should lead to a reduction in positions or a quick stop loss. Alternatively, add to positions at 88300, with a stop loss set above 88500. For more secure short positions, place an order at 89500, with little likelihood during the day, a stop loss of 500 points, and a take profit of 1000 points. Long positions should be arranged around 87000, with a supplementary position if it drops below 86000, a stop loss of 500 points, and a take profit of 1000 points. The extreme bottom buying point is at 83800.
**$ETH Operation Plan:**
Aggressive short position at 2970 with a stop loss of 15 points and a take profit of 30 points. Conservative short position at 3000 points, also with a stop loss of 15 points and a take profit of 30 points, with an extreme view of 3033. Long positions are set around 2930, with orders placed at 2900 after breaking down, stop loss of 10 points, and take profit of 30 points for a reduction strategy. Steady long position at 2870, stop loss of 15 points to play for the bottom, with an extreme view of 2805.
**$SOL Operation Plan:**
Long position at 120.6 with a stop loss of 1 point and take profit of 2 points, extreme bottom fishing at 118. Short position at 124.7 with a stop loss of 1 point and reduce position by 2 points. Aggressive short at 127.5, stop loss of 1 point and take profit of 2 points.
The core logic is: during a low liquidity period with insurance, the main players often use pinning to harvest, and defense must be strict. A light position combined with stop-loss is the best strategy.