2025-12-24 01:10:35

#数字资产市场洞察 The concentration of chips has broken the warning line!

The concentration of BTC spot trading within a 5% price range has just reached 13.3%, a figure we have been monitoring closely.

What does it mean? Simply put — if BTC oscillates repeatedly at this position, with each turnover occurring within the same price range, the concentration will become higher and higher. Historical data tells us that once it breaks through the 13% line, a big fluctuation is usually not far away. Especially after exceeding 15%, it enters the real "high-risk zone."

There is a detail to emphasize here: what we are concerned with is not whether it rises or falls, but the volatility itself.

Looking back at the previous records, it is clear that every time the concentration breaks 15%, the subsequent price movement of BTC is chaotic, with no regular pattern in its ups and downs. However, this gives us an opportunity: you can confidently bet that the realized volatility (RV) will exceed the implied volatility (IV), allowing you to profit from the volatility itself. Why not?

$BTC

BTC-0.42%

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FalseProfitProphet

· 13h ago

13.3%? Oh my, it’s time to start playing the volatility game again. This time, just not losing would be great. ------ The concentration of chips is really scary, feels like it’s about to explode at any moment. ------ Making money from the volatility itself? Sounds easy but is really hard to do. ------ History tells us that after 15%, it gets chaotic, so let’s just patiently wait and watch the show. ------ The real "danger zone" is my account balance danger zone, haha. ------ Betting on RV over IV? I can only bet on being alive to see the next rebound. ------ Another "opportunity", but my Wallet is already ready to be educated.

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GasOptimizer

· 13h ago

13.3% has broken the line, the historical data needs to be verified again.

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MemeTokenGenius

· 13h ago

The concentration of chips has reached 13.3%, and this time there will really be a big fluctuation. The volatility arbitrage strategy works, we've done it by capturing the difference between RV and IV. Are we going to be shaken out again?

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MetaMuskRat

· 13h ago

Wow, 13.3% has broken? Now we really have to wait and see, the historical pattern is right there.

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MidnightTrader

· 13h ago

Wow, 13.3% is almost breaking the line, this time it really seems to be moving. --- I have never really understood the volatility arbitrage part, can someone explain it? --- Concentration is always like this, and then BTC starts performing, the rhythm is indeed perfect. --- Is 15% really the true high risk? Then there is still some buffer space, let's wait and see. --- Regardless of rise or fall, I'm just betting on volatility, this mindset is indeed clear. --- Historical data is here again, I've heard this logic several times, will it be another false breakouts this time? --- Making money from volatility itself sounds easy but is difficult to do, everyone.

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