2025-12-22 20:30:55

Many people believe that a declining birth rate is a good thing, but this judgment is too naive.

Global fertility rates continue to decline, which superficially seems to alleviate resource pressure, but in reality, it is sowing deeper economic risks. The issues arising from an imbalanced population structure are far more complex than imagined.

Imagine this: what does a shrinking workforce mean? There are fewer people working, while the number of elderly people needing support is increasing. This not only burdens the pension system but also drags down the growth momentum of the entire economy. The consumption side is also starting to weaken – with a decreasing young population, consumer demand naturally declines, squeezing corporate profit margins, and putting pressure on the capital markets.

What's even more heartbreaking is the intergenerational imbalance. There are too few newborns, the aging process is accelerating, and the vitality of the entire society is gradually diminishing. Innovation, entrepreneurship, and risk tolerance will all decline. Industries and markets that rely on demographic dividends face the risk of long-term decline.

From the perspective of asset allocation, the fertility crisis is reshaping the long-term landscape of the global economy. This is not something to celebrate lightly, but a systemic risk that needs to be taken seriously.

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DaoTherapy

· 23h ago

I am a pessimist; the decline in birth rates precisely proves humanity's rational choices. An economic collapse is more worth celebrating than having children.

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SquidTeacher

· 12-22 21:01

Damn, this is a big problem, we are really slowly committing suicide. To put it bluntly, if no one is having kids, who will work for us and support us in old age? This crisis is worse than the real estate blowup, a chronic poison. Young people are all lying flat, how can companies make money? The Capital Market is going to cool down, and the assets we hold will also depreciate. Ultimately, it’s a generational divide; young people are not cooperating, directly triggering systemic risks. It sounds scary, but the question is, what can we do? Once the birth rate drops, it's hard to recover losses, this is really not a small issue. I believe it, the momentum for economic growth is indeed losing, and the consumer market has shrunk. I noticed it long ago, population issues = national fortune issues, this is a long-term Unfavourable Information.

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GasDevourer

· 12-22 20:54

Alright, can't argue with that... who dares to have children now? --- Here we go again, economists love to sing the blues --- Wait, if this continues, how will our generation retire... --- The core issue really boils down to one word: poverty --- Isn't a low birth rate just a rational choice? Why drag it into the economic crisis? --- Damn, have you ever thought about it from an asset allocation perspective? This is the real risk --- It sounds grand, but young people's wages are still so low, is it our fault? --- The demographic dividend is fading, this game can no longer be played --- The problem is, no matter how much you emphasize it, it won't change the reality of being unable to afford it --- Intergenerational imbalance is happening, fewer young people, more old people, and the middle-aged have to work part-time to make money.

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RektCoaster

· 12-22 20:37

To put it bluntly, while a declining birthrate might seem appealing, it is actually laying mines for the future. With fewer people, there will also be less money; this equation just doesn't add up. Aging is indeed a heart-wrenching issue, and the drive for innovation is completely gone. Is there a crisis in birth rates? It feels more like an economic time bomb that we really can't afford to ignore. In the end, who is going to bear the cost of weak consumption? It's the next generation. Ultimately, if there’s no market for young people, it’s a dead market. This wave will indeed rewrite the rules of asset allocation; anyone who didn’t anticipate this is foolish. There are too many naive people who really think that a decrease in population means they can just relax? What a joke. Intergenerational imbalance is all about this; it’s just a slow suicide. The pension system will eventually collapse; if you’re not scared now, you’ll regret it when the time comes.

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