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The crypto market in December seems very contradictory. On one hand, retail investors are scared stiff; on the other hand, some are buying aggressively.
Let's start with market sentiment. In mid-December, the Fear and Greed Index dropped directly from 29 to 23, entering the "Extreme Fear" zone. What does this mean? It's roughly similar to the feeling during the 2022 bear market. This index isn't randomly calculated; it considers market volatility, trading volume, social engagement, and other six major indicators. When combined, a reading of 23 indicates that market sentiment has bottomed out. Retail investors are eager to sell everything at this point, with a bursting desire to dump their holdings.
While everyone is panicking and trying to escape, a mysterious investor known as the "BTC OG Insider Whale" took a contrarian move. On-chain data shows this person has been increasing their ETH position with 5x leverage long positions. Currently, their position is valued at $540 million, with an unrealized loss of over $20 million, but they haven't blinked. Not only that, they also placed a $17 million limit order, waiting to buy more.
What does this action tell us? During times of panic, it’s the perceptive players who are positioning themselves. When the market hits bottom, institutions and major players start to move. This is how the crypto world works—when the index hits rock bottom, it often hides the biggest opportunities. Retail investors see red and sell off, while big players quietly buy the dip. This is the true face of the market: the lower the fear index, the closer the real money-making opportunities are.