Solana (SOL) December 2025 Price Trend Analysis

The current date is December 7, 2025. Solana (SOL) is currently priced at approximately 131.61-133 USD (according to CoinMarketCap and CoinGecko data), down about 0.5%-1% over 24 hours, down 1.8% over 7 days, and down 12.1% over 30 days. The market cap is around $65 billion, ranking 6th, with 24-hour trading volume exceeding $6 billion. Performance in 2025 has been highly volatile: the yearly high was about 223.50 USD (January), mid-year retraced to around 120 USD, rebounded to 142 USD in November, but after opening at 134 USD in December, quickly dropped to a low of 123 USD and is currently consolidating. The Fear & Greed Index is 23 (Extreme Fear), RSI(14) is approximately 58 (neutral to slightly bullish), and MACD shows a bullish crossover signal, but the overall market is weighed down by BTC dominance (>55%) and macro uncertainty.

Historical and Recent Trends Review
H1 2025: SOL rose from about 100 USD at the beginning of the year to an ATH of 223.50 USD, driven by DeFi TVL growth (reaching $12 billion) and a meme coin boom, but network congestion events in May-June led to a pullback to 150 USD. H2: In July, the first US SOL staking ETF (REX-Osprey SSK) was launched, attracting $101.7 million in institutional inflows, but the price fell from 133 USD to 123 USD (end of November), a cumulative drop of 30%. November saw an 18% rebound, testing the 140-160 USD resistance box, but macro panic on December 1 (BTC fell below 91K USD) caused a -9% flash crash. December to date (as of the 7th): opened at 134 USD, hit a low of 123 USD on the 1st, rebounded +9%-10% to 139 USD on the 2nd-3rd, and is now oscillating in the 130-135 USD range. Early trading volume surged to 6B+ USD, average TPS 70K, indicating a revival in network activity.

From X community feedback, sentiment in December is divided: bulls focus on the Breakpoint conference (mid-December) and Firedancer upgrade testnet, forecasting 150+ USD EOM; bears worry about BTC correlation and LTH (long-term holder) profit-taking, warning that a break below 130 USD could slide to 120-100 USD. Semantic search shows about 60% positive posts, e.g., “SOL December rebound to 155-165 USD, MACD bullish.”

Technical Analysis & Key Indicators
SOL is currently forming a double-bottom pattern (support at 120 USD), neckline at 145 USD. If broken, this confirms a bullish outlook; otherwise, head-and-shoulders or rounding top patterns may trigger downside. Bollinger Band lower band at 125.68 USD is key support, upper band at 146.91 USD is recent resistance. Below is a simplified line chart based on historical monthly data (sampled from key 2025 points), showing price trends (data source: CoinCodex and InvestingHaven, monthly median, ~20 points for simplicity):

Grok can also make mistakes. Please verify with original sources. Download
The chart shows December projections based on current momentum and analyst median (155 USD); if Breakpoint acts as a catalyst, it could reach 165 USD. SOL/ETH ratio is 0.05, indicating altcoin dominance potential.

Price Prediction: December Outlook
Based on multi-source algorithms and technical indicators, SOL’s December trend is neutral to bullish but highly dependent on BTC (currently 91K USD) and Fed rate decisions. Forecast layers are as follows:

Scenario
Probability
End-December Price Range
Key Triggers
ROI (from current 131 USD)
Bullish
55%
155-225 USD
Successful Breakpoint conference, ETF net inflow >50M USD, BTC >95K USD. Historical December average +7.28% (2023 +71%).
+18% ~ +72%
Neutral
30%
132-155 USD
Consolidation continues, network upgrades boost TVL but macro pressures (rate volatility) limit gains. CryptoPredictions average 232 USD, adjusted conservatively.
+1% ~ +18%
Bearish
15%
100-130 USD
BTC bear market continues, break of 125 USD support, institutional selling. CoinCodex short-term up to 139 USD, but weekend could test 130 USD.
-24% ~ -1%
Short-term (Dec 7-15): Target 139-144 USD (+6-10%) if MACD histogram stays green.
Mid-term (End-Dec): Median forecast 155-165 USD (Blockchain.news), aggressive targets like CoinRepublic see 250 USD (based on upgrades and December seasonality).
Long-term 2026: If ETF approval and Firedancer mainnet, target 300-500 USD.
Volatility: Expected 7.74% (past 30 days), whale holdings 40%, prone to amplified swings.

Drivers and Risks
Bullish: Ecosystem growth: DeFi TVL 120B USD, surge in meme/AI/gaming dApps; Breakpoint conference (December) may be a catalyst. Institutional adoption: staking reaches 3.1M SOL, Vanguard unlocks 50M clients; strong SOL ETF inflows. Tech upgrades: Firedancer testnet boosts TPS >100K, enhances scalability. Seasonality: December historically a rebound month, trading interest +15% WoW.
Risks: Macro pressure: rate uncertainty, global recession; high SOL-BTC correlation (>0.8). Network issues: recurring congestion or security events. Market sentiment: under extreme fear, LTH profit-taking may intensify selling pressure; X bears warn of head-and-shoulders pattern down to 100 USD. Regulation: SOL’s security classification uncertain, affecting institutional confidence.

Summary: SOL’s trend in December 2025 is primarily mild rebound, supported by ecosystem vitality and institutional inflows, but beware of macro risks. If 130 USD support holds and 145 USD is broken, year-end 150-200 USD is possible; otherwise, a test of 120 USD is likely. As an L1 leader (top TPS), SOL has huge long-term potential, but short-term volatility is high. DYOR before investing, crypto market risk is extremely high, not financial advice.