Polymarket's crypto section has a pre-market area where you can see the predicted FDV and TGE time for upcoming projects, which also represents the current “consensus” of the market on each project.

Let’s look at a few events related to projects I’m interested in or participating in:
1️⃣ The probability of BASE issuing tokens by June 30, 2026 is 56%
2️⃣ HumidFi’s predicted FDV one day after launch: probability of exceeding 80 million is 94%, exceeding 100 million is 88%, exceeding 200 million is 45%
3️⃣ StandX’s predicted FDV one day after launch: probability of exceeding 80 million is 78%, exceeding 100 million is 59%, exceeding 200 million is 33%
4️⃣ Solstice token issuance probability: probability of issuing tokens by December 31 this year is only 3%, probability by March 31 next year is 95%
5️⃣ Abstract token issuance timing: 4% probability by the end of 2025, 74% probability by the end of 2026

Yes, the web2 world is so boring, I’m back online again.