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Japanese Candles: The Guide Every Crypto Trader Needs (But Nobody Explains It Well)
Japanese candlesticks have been in use for 300 years, and in crypto, they remain the universal language of the market. But here’s the uncomfortable truth: most traders who lose money understand the patterns… they just read them backwards.
The Basic Structure You Can't Ignore
Each candle tells you a battle between buyers and sellers in 4 numbers:
That's all. The rest is noise.
Patterns that Work (If You Combine Them Well)
Bullish signals:
Bearish signals:
The Doji - Indecision: Opening = closing. It means: neither buyers nor sellers won. Pure uncertainty. It is only relevant in context (up = trend change; down = possible rebound).
The Part Everyone Forgets: The Context
Here comes the important part: a single pattern does not make you rich. You need:
The Differences in Crypto vs Stock Market
Gaps (price gaps) hardly exist in crypto because the market operates 24/7. Traditional markets close, crypto does not. So forget about looking for gaps - they won't appear like they do in stocks.
Real Strategy to Avoid Losing Money
Step 1: Truly understand each pattern. Don't memorize shapes - understand what each shadow means.
Step 2: Practice on historical charts. How many times did that pattern lead to profits? How many times did it fail? Make your own statistics.
Step 3: Combine with Elliot, Wyckoff, or Dow Theory. The candles are nice but incomplete on their own.
Step 4: Always use a stop-loss. If the pattern fails 2% below where you entered, get out. Period.
Step 5: Minimum risk/reward 1:2. Don't bet $100 to win $50.
The Plot Twist
Candlestick patterns have ~60-70% accuracy at best. That means that 3 out of 10 times you will be wrong. The difference between winning and losing traders is not the pattern - it's risk management and the discipline to stick to the plan when FOMO is screaming at you to enter.
Use the candles as a compass, not as a treasure map.