BTC Trend

Currently still in a daily chart downtrend structure since the 126,000 high point.
Recently, a quick rebound from 101,500 to 114,000 was followed by another weak pullback.
The price was blocked near the EMA30, repeatedly testing and failing, indicating strong selling pressure above.
Signs of a continuation of the downtrend after failed rebounds are now appearing.
MACD
BTC & ETH daily MACD remains below the zero line, with the red histogram weakening → signal of rebound failure
DIF/DEA are opening downward again, indicating an ongoing bearish trend
RSI
BTC RSI ≈36, ETH RSI ≈33
In the weak zone, no signs of a strong reversal → weak oscillation or further decline
Volume
Rebound volume has not increased, while selling volume has significantly expanded → bearish momentum dominates
Upper resistance 110,500 – 112,500 EMA resistance + multiple failed attempts
Secondary resistance 115,000 strong structural resistance
Lower support 107,000 – 105,500 recent lows + recent support zones
Strong support 101,500 stage bottom

ETH Trend
Similar to BTC, maintaining a daily chart downtrend.
After multiple failed attempts at 4100–4200, it has weakened.
Current rebound faces strong resistance around 4000, with a clear pullback.
The structure is weak, and the probability of further decline after a short-term rebound is higher.
MACD
BTC & ETH daily MACD remains below the zero line, with the red histogram weakening → signal of rebound failure
DIF/DEA are opening downward again, indicating an ongoing bearish trend
RSI
BTC RSI ≈36, ETH RSI ≈33
In the weak zone, no signs of a strong reversal → weak oscillation or further decline
Volume
Rebound volume has not increased, while selling volume has significantly expanded → bearish momentum dominates
Upper resistance 3950 – 4020 EMA resistance key zone
Strong resistance 4200 – 4250 dense sell zone at previous highs
Lower support 3700 – 3600 key support zone
Strong support 3400 stage bottom extreme support

Summary
The current market is in
rebound failure + downtrend continuation confirmation
Weak structure indicators, biased for a pullback, with insufficient volume leading to a large daily bearish line suppression
Short-term outlook: oscillating bearish → higher probability of gradual support breakdown
Mid-term direction: wait for support zone stabilization before considering a rebound
Weak oscillation downward, waiting for key support signals to stabilize
BTC watch 107,000 → 105,500
ETH watch 3700 → 3600
Before a clear stop-loss signal forms, the short to medium term remains dominated by rebound and short positions.