Tracking real-time hotspots in the crypto world and seizing the best trading opportunities. Today is Tuesday, October 7, 2025. I am Wang Yibo! Good morning to all crypto friends ☀ hardcore fan daily attendance 👍 Like and make a fortune 🍗🍗🌹🌹,

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The dual variables of the shutdown farce and interest rate cut expectations. The U.S. government shutdown has entered its seventh day, and this crisis, dubbed a "political farce," is spreading from Washington to global markets. 750,000 federal employees are forced to face a survival crisis — Department of Homeland Security security inspectors are relying on credit cards to cover car loans, NASA engineers are cutting back on food expenses, and the number of employees applying for food relief has surged by 37% compared to the 2018 shutdown period. More critically, the National Institutes of Health has suspended 120 clinical trials, leaving 4,000 patients without hope for treatment, the closure of Yellowstone National Park has resulted in zero revenue for surrounding businesses, and the efficiency of customs clearance at the Port of Los Angeles has decreased by 20%, causing supply chain disruptions.
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The subtle changes in the macro environment have given rise to dramatic行情 in the crypto market. Bitcoin has once again launched a nighttime offensive, reaching a historical high of 126,200 dollars, while Ethereum has surged to 4,734 dollars. The continuous entry of whale institutions has become a core driving force. On-chain data shows that ETF资金流入 is still climbing, the M2 liquidity index continues to expand, and the liquidity easing brought about by interest rate cut expectations is jointly supporting this round of上涨行情. However, historical patterns are becoming apparent — Bitcoin has always faced a correction after reaching a historical high, and the current market is entering a "cooling period after overheating." This means that the correction is not a signal of a peak but rather constitutes a window period for "getting back in." 95,000 dollars may become a short-term底部, while 140,000 dollars is the ultimate target for the cycle.
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Compared to the clear trends of mainstream coins, the altcoin market has not yet shown prominent sectors, but structural opportunities are brewing. October has become a key time window — the SEC will make a final decision on 16 types of cryptocurrency spot ETFs, covering varieties such as SOL, XRP, LTC, among others, with LTC and SOL's approval probability being bet by the market at over 93%. Litecoin founder Charlie Lee has clearly stated that its non-security nature and market maturity meet the SEC's new listing standards, while Bloomberg analysts believe the approval success rate for the SOL ETF is close to 100%. In contrast, the previously popular XPL has seen a short-term opportunity to break even after a deep adjustment, but it lacks substantial support such as ETF expectations, necessitating caution against secondary risks after the rebound.
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This week's highlights: Three major focal points determine the market direction, signals to break the deadlock: Key attention should be paid to the progress of the bipartisan negotiations — if the Senate passes the bipartisan temporary funding bill and the White House softens its layoff threats, it will ease market anxiety; if the deadlock continues for more than two weeks, the EU GDP could lose €4 billion, the dollar's credibility may be further damaged, and countries like Brazil and India may accelerate their "de-dollarization" process. Powell's "words" and the Federal Reserve's direction: Although economic data is delayed, the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes and Powell's speeches will still release key signals. Caution is needed regarding his cooling statements on "overheated rate cut expectations," which could trigger short-term fluctuations in the crypto market; conversely, if he emphasizes that "the risk of a government shutdown needs policy hedging," it will strengthen easing expectations. ETF decision window: The decision nodes for the Canary LTC ETF on October 2, Grayscale SOL/LTC trust conversion on October 10, and WisdomTree XRP fund on October 24 are worth closely monitoring. Referring to the capital effects after the approval of Bitcoin ETFs, the first batch of approved varieties may lead the altcoin rotation market, and multi-coin index products from institutions like Bitwise may become the top choice for institutional layout.
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The U.S. government shutdown has created short-term chaos, while the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts have established a medium-term easing tone. The crypto market is currently in a special stage of "volatility and opportunity coexisting." For investors, Bitcoin's periodic pullbacks present a good opportunity to position core assets, while the October ETF decision may open structural space for altcoins. As the market proverb goes: "Be greedy when others are fearful, and be cautious when others are greedy." Before the policy statements from Powell and the SEC's rulings are finalized, maintaining patience and position discipline is essential to capture certain returns amidst the chaos.