🔥 If the US incorporates BTC into its strategic reserves, it will be the most significant macro signal in the history of Crypto Assets! Let me break down three points:

1️⃣ Could it be the super catalyst for the next bull market?

Absolutely! But it's not just a "trigger", it's a nuclear-level catalyst.

· The logic is simple: if the United States publicly lists BTC as a strategic reserve, it would mean endorsing the national credit with "digital gold," completely breaking the old narrative of BTC being "illegal, highly volatile, and lacking intrinsic value."
· On-chain data has revealed signals: publicly traded companies like MicroStrategy and Tesla hold BTC, but actions at the national level are the ultimate FOMO trigger—institutions, sovereign funds, and even traditional pension funds may reassess their asset allocations.
· Historical Analogy: After the dollar decoupled from gold in 1971, gold entered a decade-long bull market; if the dollar system embraces BTC, the cyclical increase may far exceed expectations.

2️⃣ BTC Price Prediction: How High Can It Go in the Short and Long Term?

· Short term (1-2 years): If the proposal is approved, there is a high probability of breaking through the 2021 high point (69,000 USD) and challenging 100,000-150,000 USD. Reason: market sentiment + institutional buying.
· Long-term (5-10 years): 200,000 USD? That's conservative. Referring to PlanB's S2F model, with the halving cycle + national-level demand, BTC's market value is expected to evolve towards the logic of partially replacing gold (the market value of gold is about 13 trillion USD, while BTC is currently just over 1 trillion).
· Key variables: regulatory clarity and large-scale approval of ETFs (such as BlackRock and Fidelity ETFs have paved the way).

3️⃣ Proposal implementation timeline and probability of follow-up with other countries

· Time Prediction: 2024-2025 is a key window. Recently, the two major parties in the United States have rarely collaborated to discuss the encryption currency framework (such as the FIT21 bill), but the strategic reserves involve treasury operations, which will likely require a longer period of negotiation - I believe the probability of implementation is higher after 2025.
· Global diffusion effect:
· There will definitely be countries following suit! Especially emerging markets (like El Salvador has gone All in) or resource-rich countries (like Middle Eastern sovereign funds).
· China? It's not possible in the short term, but if the dollar system embraces BTC, global reserve competition will force all countries to reassess.

🎯 My conclusion:

The BTC strategic reserve is not only a market issue but also a geopolitical game. If the United States takes action, it will directly accelerate the iteration of the global financial system – and we are standing at a historical turning point.

💡 Action Suggestion: DCA + Hold, ignore short-term noise. The bull market is here, but you need to be on the bus.

#BTC战略储备市场影响# and #Gate广场创作点亮中秋#