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#Gate广场创作点亮中秋# Trump's influence may reshape the Fed, with funds pouring into tokenized gold, this move brings multiple impacts to the crypto market, specifically as follows:
1. Policy uncertainty triggers market volatility
Trump's pressure on the Fed (such as dismissing board members and pushing for interest rate cuts) has intensified short-term market concerns about policy uncertainty. This could lead to significant fluctuations in cryptocurrency prices, as seen with Bitcoin and Ethereum, which experienced notable pullbacks following related events. However, if the market ultimately interprets this as an increased expectation for easing policies, funds may flow from traditional assets into the crypto market, driving prices higher.
2. Potential Changes in Fund Flows
Tokenization of gold competition
The influx of funds into tokenized gold may divert some capital that would originally flow into the crypto market. Tokenized gold combines the safe-haven properties of gold with the convenience of blockchain, attracting investors seeking stable returns. For example, the trading volume of tokenized gold products like PAXG has surged, which may weaken the safe-haven demand for cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin.
Reallocation of institutional funds
The policies promoted by Trump (such as allowing 401(k) retirement plans to invest in cryptocurrency) may attract institutional funds. If the policies are implemented, the inflow of long-term capital could support the crypto market, but in the short term, there may also be volatility due to the pace of policy implementation and regulatory uncertainty.
Three, challenges of regulation and compliance.
The policy adjustments of the Trump administration regarding cryptocurrencies may trigger regulatory arbitrage risks. On one hand, loose policies may attract more funds; on the other hand, regulatory differences among countries and regions may lead to increased compliance costs, affecting the cross-border flow and application scenarios of cryptocurrencies.
4. The Impact of Market Narratives and Confidence
The Trump family's crypto projects (such as World Liberty Financial) and their public support for cryptocurrency may boost market enthusiasm in the short term, attracting new users. However, in the long run, if policies fail to be effectively implemented or if the market questions the sustainability of these policies, it could undermine market confidence.
In summary, the potential influence of Trump's power on the Fed and the trend of fund flow towards tokenization of gold may exacerbate volatility in the crypto market in the short term. However, in the long run, if policies promote institutional capital entry and the regulatory environment stabilizes, cryptocurrencies may benefit from capital reallocation and technological innovation. Investors should closely monitor the pace of policy implementation, regulatory dynamics, and changes in market fund flow.