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#BTC即将创新高吗? Bitcoin returning to $100,000 marks a key turning point for the crypto market as it moves from fringe speculation to mainstream allocation. However, high leverage, policy games, and geopolitical risks still loom like the sword of Damocles. For investors, it is essential to be wary of short-term fluctuations and focus on three core variables: 1. The Federal Reserve interest rate decision (whether the June policy will shift); 2. ETF capital flows (whether it can maintain a daily average net inflow of $200 million);
3. Progress of China-US trade negotiations (whether tariffs will be substantially reduced).
As cryptocurrency analyst Chloe said: "The current market has not shown signs of euphoria, and implied volatility is below historical peaks, which may be a consolidation phase in the middle of the bull market."
In the current situation where opportunities and risks coexist, "cautious optimism, diversified allocation, and strict control of leverage" may be the key to navigating through cycles.