Willy Woo:市场提前定价量子威胁400万枚抛压,BTC价格表现将持续受阴雨笼罩

BTC-1,97%

BlockBeats 消息,2 月 16 日,知名分析师 Willy Woo 表示,比特币相对于黄金已延续 12 年的估值趋势最近被打破,BTC 的相对估值本应更高,但在现实中没能达成,主要是对量子计算的风险觉醒导致市场开始提前定价潜在问题。

比特币在未来很可能通过量子抗性签名进行修补,但这无法解决约 400 万枚「丢失」BTC(早期丢失的私钥可能被量子计算机破解)重新进入流通的问题。Willy Woo 预计有 75% 的概率这些丢失比特币不会通过协议硬分叉被冻结,因此市场需要提前计入 400 万枚抛压。

自 2020 年 MicroStrategy 开始囤积 BTC 以来的企业及 ETF 总积累量仅 280 万枚 BTC,这 400 万枚丢失代币相当于 8 年企业积累量,会产生严重供应稀释。在「Q-Day」之前(量子计算威胁实现日,预计 5-15 年后)BTC 价格将持续受此阴云影响。

Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to Disclaimer.

Gerelateerde artikelen

Crypto Whale Incurs Partial Liquidation Following High-Leverage $SOL and $BTC Bets

A crypto trader "0xdf1…6f0b0" faced partial liquidation after using high leverage on $BTC and $SOL. With 40x and 20x leverage, they saw mixed outcomes: a profit of $438K from $SOL and a loss of $396K from $BTC, highlighting the risks of leveraged trading.

BlockChainReporter23m geleden

Michael Saylor’s 'Turn of the Century' Post Sparks Fresh Bitcoin Buy Speculation

Michael Saylor's recent orange dot chart post suggests another potential bitcoin acquisition by Strategy, sparking speculation among traders. Historically, similar posts have preceded formal buy disclosures, leading to heightened market anticipation.

Coinpedia50m geleden

Crypto News Today: Pepeto Presale Delivers Faster Math Than BTC’s 88% Odds of $122K as ARK Invest Buys $19M Dip

An 88% chance Bitcoin hits $122,000 within ten months sounds like a gift. But that is an 85% return from current levels, and it takes almost a year. ARK Invest bought $19 million at 15 month lows. Bernstein calls for $150,000. Wells Fargo sees $150 billion in fresh capital entering by end of

CaptainAltcoin56m geleden

中東地緣衝突推升避險需求,防禦型資產有哪些?

中東地區衝突加劇引發投資者對避險資產的需求,包括美元、黃金和瑞士法郎。荷莫茲海峽的航運安全成為焦點,潛在的原油價格上漲可能增加全球通膨壓力。股市面臨重新定價,防禦類股表現較好,而比特幣在市場波動中變化劇烈,阿聯酋證券交易所將因衝突休市,影響經濟穩定。

ChainNewsAbmedia1u geleden

Hyperliquid Whale Sees $42M Bitcoin Long Position Partially Liquidated After BTC Pullback

A trader on Hyperliquid made a risky $42 million long bet on bitcoin using 40x leverage, which partially liquidated after BTC fell below $66,000. Now, with a precarious position, further losses could trigger another liquidation as the account's equity drops significantly.

Coinpedia3u geleden
Opmerking
0/400
Geen opmerkingen
Handel crypto altijd en overal
qrCode
Scan om de Gate-app te downloaden
Community
  • 简体中文
  • English
  • Tiếng Việt
  • 繁體中文
  • Español
  • Русский
  • Français (Afrique)
  • Português (Portugal)
  • Bahasa Indonesia
  • 日本語
  • بالعربية
  • Українська
  • Português (Brasil)