1月26日消息，随着胖企鹅代币 PENGU 与 Pepe Coin（PEPE）在Meme币赛道持续吸引资金关注，市场进入新一轮分化阶段。PENGU 当前价格约为 0.01001 美元，24 小时内下跌约 17%，市值约 6.29 亿美元，成交额则逆势放大至 1.18 亿美元，显示在下行波动中仍存在高频换手。PEPE 报 0.000005009 美元，在此前剧烈波动后尝试构筑短线支撑。
Meme币整体市值约 444 亿美元，日内小幅回落 0.2%。DOGE 与 SHIB 承压明显，而 PEPE 维持相对稳固的市场份额。两者的价值路径差异明显：PENGU 依托 Pudgy Penguins 品牌，覆盖 NFT、衍生品与游戏等多元场景，并在社交平台积累数百万粉丝；PEPE 主要由社区与迷因文化驱动，生态外延相对有限。
推动 PENGU 波动的核心事件是人力资源 NFT 空投快照，定于格林威治标准时间 1 月 29 日 18:00 进行，每个钱包最多可领取五个 NFT。该机制鼓励策略性持仓而非无限囤积。快照前，一名买家在一小时内扫货超过 100 万美元的 Pudgy Penguins NFT，AI 分析师 aixbt 将其解读为中期布局而非短线投机。过去一周，该系列 NFT 成交额约 380 万美元，底价稳定在 5.09 ETH。
技术面上，PENGU 的 MACD 位于零轴下方，RSI 约 44，短线偏空。若抛压延续，价格或测试 0.009961 美元支撑，进一步下探至 0.009882 美元；若出现反弹，0.01011 与 0.01022 美元构成上方阻力区。PEPE 的衍生品活跃度升温，成交额放大至 6.49 亿美元，未平仓合约增至 3.47 亿美元，若多头动能恢复，价格有望挑战 0.000006 美元关口。快照时点临近，PENGU 持有者的仓位调整仍将主导短期价格节奏。
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