Interest rate cuts are an important topic in financial markets, but many people know very little about the details. The Polymarket website provides real-time data on the timing, magnitude, and probability of Fed interest rate cuts, which is derived from the actual investment behavior of institutional and individual investors, thus having a high level of credibility.

Currently, data shows that the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates on October 29 and December 10 is as high as 89% and 78%, respectively, and there is also a possibility of another rate cut in January next year. This information is crucial for investors' decisions.

Interest rate cuts are generally seen as beneficial for the stock market, gold, and the cryptocurrency market. The logic behind this is that after a rate cut, the money supply increases, and bank deposit yields decline, prompting investors to shift their funds to other investment channels. In this situation, funds tend to flow into areas with the least resistance and the highest potential returns.

For the cryptocurrency market, especially small tokens (commonly known as "altcoins"), they may be more favored by investors in a rate-cut environment due to their relatively low prices and the potential for significant short-term increases. This phenomenon is referred to as "rate-cut benefits altcoin season."

However, it is important to note that the impact of interest rate cuts is not immediate. Historical data shows that in the early stages of the Fed's interest rate cuts, the stock market often performs poorly. A real bull market typically does not begin until the end of the interest rate cut cycle. Therefore, investors need to be patient and consider market changes comprehensively when making decisions.

The impact of interest rate cuts on different asset classes is complex, and investors should analyze cautiously to avoid blindly following trends. At the same time, it is important to pay attention to the economic factors behind the interest rate cuts, such as inflation rates and employment data, as these will affect the long-term trends of the market. In investment decisions, it is crucial to maintain rationality and a long-term perspective.