金十数据4月14日讯,AMP首席经济学家奥利弗(Shane Oliver)说,澳大利亚应该避免关税引发的经济衰退,尤其是因为有降息的空间。澳洲联储在新冠肺炎大流行期间的现金利率为0.75%,奥利弗指出,目前4.10%的利率为其提供了充足的回旋余地。他认为澳洲联储没有必要召开紧急利率会议,但他认为,下一次定于5月召开的会议有35%的可能性会以降息0.5个百分点结束。他在一份报告中补充称,与潜在的经济增长冲击或商品供应增加相比,澳元走软给通胀带来的上行风险可能较小。
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