Báo cáo thị trường mới nhất từ Wintermute cho thấy biến động địa chính trị tại eo biển Hormuz có thể trở thành chất xúc tác quan trọng đối với giá Bitcoin trong ngắn hạn.
Theo phân tích, nếu lưu lượng vận tải tại khu vực này sớm trở lại bình thường và giá dầu ổn định quanh mốc 100 USD/thùng, Bitcoin có khả năng kiểm tra vùng kháng cự từ 74.000 đến 76.000 USD. Kịch bản này phản ánh tâm lý thị trường cải thiện khi rủi ro gián đoạn nguồn cung năng lượng giảm bớt.
Ngược lại, nếu các hạn chế vận chuyển tiếp tục kéo dài hoặc xung đột leo thang trở lại, áp lực vĩ mô có thể gia tăng. Khi đó, Bitcoin nhiều khả năng điều chỉnh về khu vực giữa 60.000 USD, phản ánh dòng tiền thận trọng và xu hướng phòng thủ của nhà đầu tư trước bất ổn địa chính trị.
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