3月10日消息，自伊朗战争爆发以来，比特币（BTC）价格持续反弹，而迪拜房地产市场却遭遇大幅下跌。迪拜金融市场（DFM）房地产指数周一收于13,353点，较2月27日的16,306点下跌18.1%，几乎抹去了年初以来的所有涨幅。相比之下，比特币自战争爆发时的65,492美元起，一度回落至63,000美元后迅速反弹至69,000美元，累计上涨约5.4%。
此次冲击源于伊朗向迪拜机场、豪华酒店和民用区域发射导弹，导致阿联酋监管机构关闭证券交易所两天，以防止恐慌性抛售。迪拜房地产市场的暴跌还受制于外国资本撤离压力，私人飞机需求暴增至少300%，大量高净值投资者迅速离开该地区。Emaar Properties股价从17迪拉姆跌至13.30迪拉姆，下跌22%，Aldar Properties在市场重新开放当天下跌5%。
尽管迪拜长期以加密货币友好政策吸引大量加密企业，多家CEX在当地设立办公室，但战争导致该地区风险上升，使房地产市场的稳定性受到严重冲击。二级市场数据显示，部分房产价格下跌甚至超过10%，平均跌幅约为4.9%。
分析人士指出，迪拜房价下跌也与未来供应激增预期相关。惠誉早前警告称，仅供应问题就可能导致房价下降15%，而2026年下半年新建公寓数量预计激增，但需求正在迅速下降。相比之下，比特币虽波动性高，却因其流动性强和全球避险特性，在战争背景下反而成为投资者关注的资产。
整体来看，伊朗战争不仅重新塑造了区域风险格局，也对全球资产配置产生深远影响。高风险事件推动加密货币市场活跃，而依赖外国资本的迪拜房地产市场则承压显著，凸显战争对传统与数字资产的差异性影响。
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