ChainCatcher 消息，Matrixport 发布每日分析表示，比特币隐含波动率从约 38.5% 升至 53.1%，但分析师认为这一水平并不算异常，与 2025 年 11 月中旬的 52.2% 水平相当，且明显低于 2026 年 2 月中旬市场大幅抛售时触及的 65.4% 高点。
独立分析师 Markus Thielen 表示，尽管地缘政治局势明显升级，但加密市场反应相对克制，更像是“有所关注，但也仅此而已”。从历史经验看，这种相对克制的波动率反应通常被视为价格走势积极信号，表明市场对冲需求有限，未出现明显恐慌性仓位变化。若这一模式延续，预计未来几周隐含波动率大概率将再度回落，也将为交易者提供利用波动率变化的交易机会。
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