3月3日消息，比特币近期价格表现显示抛售压力正在逐步减弱，但多位市场分析人士认为，这并不意味着熊市已经结束。最新研究指出，当前市场更可能进入震荡整理阶段，而非立即开启新一轮上涨周期。
10x Research在最新报告中表示，在全球避险情绪升温的背景下，比特币并未出现加速下跌，这表明市场的下行压力正在减轻。目前，比特币价格重新接近68,500美元附近的20日移动平均线，同时布林带持续收窄，意味着市场波动区间可能即将扩大。
数据显示，比特币此前一度回升至70,000美元上方，但随后回落至约68,400美元附近。技术结构上，62,500美元这一关键支撑位已连续三次成功守住，使其成为当前周期的重要防线。与此同时，RSI和随机指标均出现上行迹象，技术层面开始出现看涨背离信号，显示市场动能可能正在企稳。
不过分析人士强调，这种变化更接近于“战术性转折”，而不是趋势反转。当前波动率逐渐下降，同时资金流动情况有所改善，这些迹象表明市场并未进入加速下跌阶段，但整体结构仍然处于熊市框架之中。
Arctic Digital研究主管Justin d’Anethan指出，过去几周比特币受到多重宏观因素冲击，包括贸易摩擦、地缘政治紧张以及降息预期变化等。但近期市场情绪已从恐慌抛售转向相对谨慎，这通常意味着价格可能进入横盘整理或阶段性积累区间。
衍生品市场的变化也成为关键因素。加密行业人士Andri Fauzan Adziima表示，目前期货市场出现深度负融资利率，空头头寸明显集中，这推动了近期的空头挤压行情。此前比特币从约63,000美元快速反弹，部分空头被迫平仓，从而缓解了市场抛压。
尽管如此，分析人士仍提醒投资者保持谨慎。当前市场尚未出现持续的结构性资金流入，同时宏观层面也缺乏明确的上涨催化剂。从历史高点延续至今的整体下行趋势仍未被彻底打破，在流动性相对脆弱的环境下，比特币短期内仍可能面临多重阻力。
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