2月13日消息，比特币 近期价格持续承压，未能稳住在 72,000 美元上方。与此同时，比特币期货总未平仓合约降至 340 亿美元，创 2024 年 11 月以来新低，较 30 天前下跌约 28%。尽管以比特币数量计算的未平仓合约保持在约 502,450 个，显示杠杆需求整体未大幅减少，但强制平仓累计达 52 亿美元，加剧市场对比特币可能回落至 60,000 美元支撑位的担忧。
市场看涨杠杆需求疲软凸显比特币与传统金融市场脱钩。过去一个月，比特币下跌 28%，投资者缺乏明确催化剂。与此同时，黄金价格回到 5,000 美元心理关口，标普 500 指数接近历史高点，部分分析师认为避险情绪源于美国劳动力市场疲软。美国劳工部数据显示，2025 年新增就业仅 18.1 万个岗位，低于预期，但白宫强调人口增长放缓导致岗位需求下降。
衍生品市场数据显示，比特币期货年化资金费率低于 12%中性阈值，显示恐慌情绪持续。Deribit 比特币期权 delta 偏斜率飙升至 22%，远高于正常区间，反映空头压力仍然占优。专业交易员对价格下跌风险仍保持谨慎，短期看涨信号有限。
尽管市场指标偏弱，美国上市比特币 ETF 日均交易量仍达 54 亿美元，与机构需求下降的猜测形成对比。这意味着比特币潜在复苏可能依赖于美国就业市场和宏观经济数据的进一步明朗化，同时也考验投资者对加密资产风险偏好的变化。
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