CoinGlass数据显示，过去一小时内超过7.77亿美元的加密货币多头头寸被平仓，24小时累计平仓金额已达17.5亿美元。这表明市场的抛压依旧显著。分析人士指出，比特币跌破85,000美元可能预示着进一步下行压力，目前守住的11月份低点81,000美元是关键支撑，再往下潜在支撑位可能位于75,000美元左右。

近期行情下跌与宏观事件密切相关。美国总统特朗普宣布将提名前美联储成员沃什（Kevin Wash）接替现任主席 Jerome Powell，引发市场对货币政策前景的高度关注。Polymarket数据显示，沃什成为美联储主席的概率短时间内飙升至87%，此前仅为37%。消息发布前，BlackRock 固定收益主管 Rick Riedel 曾被认为更可能获提名，其立场更为鸽派。

市场分析认为，沃什被提名可能意味着货币政策趋于宽松，这对风险资产既有利也带来不确定性。投资者情绪在加密货币和传统市场之间交织，导致比特币及主要数字资产出现剧烈波动。

综合来看，比特币短期内仍面临下行风险，但在关键支撑位上方仍有反弹机会。交易员正在密切关注美国政策动向以及潜在利率变化对数字货币市场的影响，尤其是比特币与以太坊的价格波动。

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