Polymarket"俄乌 3 月底前停火"预测概率跌至 2%,总交易量达 2472 万美元

Gate News 消息,3 月 13 日,Polymarket 预测市场"俄罗斯与乌克兰是否会在 2026 年 3 月 31 日前停火"事件中,俄乌在 3 月底前达成停火的概率下跌至 2%。该市场 24 小时成交量约 35.5 万美元,总交易量已达 2472.6 万美元。该事件概率此前一度走高,但本月持续回落,成交量却持续放大。主流交易者仍将俄乌短期停火视为极小概率事件。

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