分析师:美国 2 月通胀数据或存隐忧,核心服务业表现成关注焦点

Gate News 消息,3 月 11 日,Tastylive 全球宏观主管 Ilya Spivak 指出,市场下一个催化剂很可能来自即将公布的通胀数据。经济学家预计,美国 2 月整体 CPI 年率将录得 2.4%,核心 CPI 年率将录得 2.5%。Spivak 表示,数据表面之下存在关键风险:1 月份 CPI 数据的重要驱动因素是能源价格对总体通胀贡献度的下降,但在 2026 年初油价已开始上涨的背景下,要重现这一情况极其困难。他强调,交易员将密切关注核心价格增长(尤其是服务业)是否继续小幅下降。若核心服务业价格持续回落,可能激发市场对中东战火平息后通胀正常化的希望,有助于安抚市场情绪;反之,脆弱的金融市场可能再次出现避险波动,投资者将面临利率在更长时间内保持高位的可能性,这将对股票、债券和美元以外的货币构成不利局面。

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