Odaily星球日报讯 CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju 在 X 平台发文表示,表示,比特币当前下跌主要因持续抛压与新增资金缺失。其指出,已实现市值(Realized Cap)近期基本走平,意味着市场未出现明显新增资本,在此环境下若总市值回落,通常不属于牛市结构。Ki Young Ju 进一步称,受 ETF 资金与 Strategy 持续买入影响,早期持有者当前仍持有较大未实现盈利,并自去年初起逐步兑现利润,此前强劲资金流入一度支撑比特币维持在约 10 万美元附近,但目前相关增量资金已明显减弱,其认为 Strategy 曾是本轮上涨的重要驱动力之一,若 Michael Saylor 未出现大规模减持,市场或难以重现以往周期中约 70% 级别的深度回撤。整体来看,当前抛压仍在持续,市场底部尚未明确,但本轮熊市阶段更可能呈现宽幅区间震荡格局。
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