尽管今日XRP价格随大盘下跌，但近期整体有所回暖，关于其在本轮周期中还能上涨多高的讨论再次升温。近日，来自韩国的艾略特波浪理论分析师 XForceGlobal 表示，从中长期结构来看，XRP仍然具备冲击 20 美元的潜力，这一判断主要基于价格结构而非短期情绪。
数据显示，XRP在2026年开年仅7天便上涨约22.6%，成功重返2美元关键关口。此前，XRP在2025年第四季度一度下跌约35%，并跌破2美元，引发市场对趋势反转的担忧。但从当前走势来看，2美元附近正在逐步形成新的中期底部。
XForceGlobal 指出，与2018年和2022年周期高点后快速崩跌不同，XRP在2024年末大幅拉升后，并未出现剧烈回撤，反而在接近历史高点的位置维持了较长时间的横盘整理。这种“高位稳定”在XRP历史中较为罕见，往往被视为强势行情的前兆。
从艾略特波浪理论角度看，XRP当前的调整更接近平台型结构，而非三角形整理。分析师认为，当前形态可能属于“运行平台”，其特点是在不跌破前低的情况下制造多次假突破，最终向主趋势方向加速突破。这类结构往往容易误导交易者，但完成后通常伴随强劲的趋势行情。
在具体目标上，XForceGlobal 将5美元视为本轮周期的保守下限。如果后续主升浪动能持续增强，XRP价格有望进一步上探10美元、20美元，极端情况下甚至接近30美元。当然，他也提醒，短期内仍需关注1.30美元至1.50美元区间的潜在回踩风险。
整体来看，在链上结构、价格行为和艾略特波浪模型的共同指向下，XRP中长期走势依然具备想象空间，关键在于当前调整阶段是否顺利结束，以及后续买盘动能能否持续放大。
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