金色财经报道，12月16日Btwise首席投资官Matt Hougan发文表示，Bitwise将于明日发布2026年“十大预测”，其中三项重要预测为：1、比特币将打破四年周期，创下历史新高；2、比特币的波动性将低于英伟达；3、比特币与股票的相关性将会下降。Matt Hougan表示，根据四年周期理论，2026年应该是回调之年。但Bitwise认为这种情况不会发生。过去推动四年周期的因素——比特币减半、利率周期以及加密货币杠杆驱动的繁荣与萧条——已经明显弱于以往的周期。随着摩根士丹利、富国银行和美林证券等平台开始配置比特币，自2024年现货比特币ETF获批以来涌入加密货币领域的机构资本浪潮将在2026年加速发展。与此同时，随着华尔街和金融科技公司开始认真采用加密货币，加密货币也将开始受益于2024年大选后监管政策的向好转变。预计这些因素的综合作用将推动比特币创下历史新高，并将四年周期扫进历史的垃圾堆。
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