华尔街预计:若周三CPI数据出现任何方向的偏差,美股将再次迎来不稳定的一天

GoldenOctober2024

金十数据1月15日讯,华尔街投行预计,如果美国周三公布的通胀数据不尽如人意,股市将迎来又一个波折之日。据机构的一项调查,预测者预计12月CPI将显示出连续第五个月的强劲增长,核心CPI将在12月上涨0.3%。据摩根大通和高盛所说,如果数据高于这一水平,股市将下跌约1%至2%,而若数据较疲软,则可能引发类似幅度的反弹。高盛策略师Dom Wilson在一份报告中写道:“美国股市现在可能需要鹰派政策的明显缓解,才能持续走高。”摩根大通市场情报团队则指出,周三的通胀数据是一个“关键数据点”,波动指数VIX已处于10月CPI公布以来的最高水平。该团队称:“温和的数据可能会重新点燃反弹,而强劲的盈利期可能会提振涨势。强劲的数据则可能会使10年期国债收益率升至5%,增加所有资产类别的波动性,并继续给股市带来压力。”

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