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Just been digging into the nuclear fission stocks space and noticed something interesting happening with NuScale and Oklo. Both are pushing small reactor technology but in pretty different ways, and the market's treating them wildly different right now.
Let me break down what each company is actually doing. NuScale makes small modular reactors that fit into compact 65-foot vessels. They're the only ones with actual NRC design approval, which is huge. Their 77 MWe reactors are being used for Romania's RoPower project, and they've got TVA lined up for up to six gigawatts across seven states. But here's the catch - these plants won't actually start running until the early 2030s. We're talking years away.
Oklo's playing a different game entirely. Their Aurora microreactors are even tinier at 1.5 MWe each, but you can chain them together for 15 to 100 MWe deployments. They use metallic uranium fuel that's denser and cheaper, plus the whole system recycles fuel in a closed loop so it runs about a decade without refueling. Oklo already broke ground on their first Idaho Powerhouse reactor and has an Air Force contract for Alaska. Their first revenue could actually hit in late 2027.
Here's where the valuation gets wild. Oklo's sitting at a 9.7 billion market cap but trades at over 600 times its projected 2027 sales. That's insane for a company that hasn't deployed anything yet. NuScale's at 3.9 billion and looks way more reasonable at 19 times 2027 sales, though still pricey. The thing is, neither company will really make money for years. NuScale expects to go from 31 million in revenue this year to 287 million by 2028, mostly from engineering studies and licensing deals. Real growth doesn't kick in until those reactors actually come online.
The market's clearly betting Oklo's earlier deployment timeline justifies the premium, but that's risky. Both nuclear fission stocks have massive potential if this technology scales, but the near-term catalysts are totally different. Oklo's got momentum from early 2027 deployments while NuScale's biggest wins are still years away. In this choppy market, that probably keeps Oklo ahead despite the questionable valuation.
Personally? I think both plays could work out over the next decade, but NuScale might stay under pressure until those first plants actually power up. Oklo's the market darling right now, and that could persist as long as they hit their deployment targets. Worth watching how these nuclear fission stocks evolve over the next 18 months.