Honestly, the question of how much you can earn from cryptocurrency depends not on the market itself but on you. In 10 years in this field, I’ve been through everything—from 3 million to minus 8 million in debt, and then back up to 10 million. This is not a fairy tale; it’s reality.

My biggest mistake was greed. In 2017, altcoins were soaring, I made 3 million, but then I started buying at peaks, selling at bottoms, using leverage. In 2018, I lost everything and was left with debts. That period was hell, but it was then I realized: you need a system, not intuition.

Eventually, I developed my own strategy that works. The essence is simple: monthly MACD to confirm the trend, daily 60-day moving average for entry. It sounds complicated, but in reality, it’s four steps.

First — I select cryptocurrencies with recent strength among the top 50 that have been rising over 11 days, but exclude those falling for three days in a row—that’s a sign that capital is leaving. Second — I check the monthly MACD chart for a golden cross. This indicates an uptrend, and such coins tend to grow more easily with larger fluctuations. Third — I wait for the price to return to the 60-day moving average on the daily chart, and I enter with strong volume. Fourth — I strictly follow the rules: sell one-third of the position at +30%, another third at +50%, and hold the rest until the price drops below the average. If the price falls below the average the day after entry, I exit completely, without hope for a rebound.

Why does this work? Because I only trade bullish assets, enter at low-risk points, and take profits gradually. The main thing here is discipline, not genius. Many lose money not because they have a bad strategy, but because they can’t control their emotions. When it’s time to set a stop-loss, they hesitate. When it’s time to lock in profits, they get greedy. In crypto, capital is king, and preserving it is the most important.

But there’s another level of thinking. I realized that how much you can earn in crypto is a matter of mathematics, not luck. There’s a win percentage and risk-to-reward ratio. For example, if I risk $200 but can make $1000, that’s a 5:1 ratio. Even with a 30% success rate, I’ll be profitable. Here’s the calculation: 20 losing trades at -$200 = -$4,000, 10 winning trades at +$1,000 = +$10,000, total +$6,000 per month on a $20,000 account. And it’s realistic if you conduct 30 trades a month.

Many chase a high win rate—90%, 95%. That’s a mistake. Most successful traders win less than 50% of their trades, but their profitable trades are much larger than their losing ones. The key is not to catch every move but to catch the right ones.

Over the years, I’ve noticed some patterns. Bitcoin is the market leader; altcoins usually follow it, only Ethereum sometimes deviates. Bitcoin and USDT move in opposite directions—if USDT is rising, expect BTC to fall. From midnight to 1 a.m., sharp swings often occur—good times for limit orders. At 5 p.m. UTC, Americans wake up, and prices start fluctuating. Fridays are unpredictable, but news always helps to understand the direction.

If a coin’s volume is falling—don’t panic, wait. Three to four days, at most a month, and I’ll return to my capital. If I have free USDT, I add to my position to lower my average entry price. If not, I just wait; it won’t disappoint me. Long-term trading with a few coins yields more than frequent trades. Patience works better than activity here.

My practical advice: don’t put all your money in at once. Divide your capital into 3-5 parts and enter gradually. When I want to buy, I do it over several hours or days, not in one trade. This reduces risk and keeps my mind calm. Set a profit target—for example, 20%—and exit regardless of whether the price continues to rise. Greed kills accounts. The same with losses: -10%—exit, no hope for a rebound.

For beginners, I recommend dividing your money into three parts: 50% for long-term investments, 30% for short-term trading, and 20% for speculation, where losses are part of learning. Don’t focus only on crypto; it shouldn’t control your life. Learn to wait—waiting is not a waste of time; it’s understanding yourself and your goals.

Now, in 2026, my portfolio includes positions in LPT ($2.10, +1.88% in 24h), RPL ($1.76, +4.03%), TRB ($15.03). Bitcoin at $68,150, Ethereum at $2,100. I’m not in a hurry; I wait for my opportunities. Psychology is 90% of trading; technique is only 10%. Many lose money because they don’t believe in themselves, listen to others’ opinions, and panic.

Remember: how much you can earn in crypto is not about luck but about a system. A system produces results. I use fixed capital for trading, start with micro-positions, increase only after profit, and adjust stop-loss based on the market. This allows me to sleep peacefully and not fear jumps.

Sensitivity to hot topics and memes is also important. I entered trends early when others hadn’t noticed yet, and quietly exited when everyone started FOMO-ing. It requires attention, but the results are worth it.

Final advice: don’t believe anyone who says they can make you rich overnight. If I had such abilities, I’d already be retired. Investments carry risks; be careful. Learn, watch more, analyze. Trading cryptocurrencies is not a joke, but if you’re ready to work, results will come. The main thing is to start, don’t fear the first step, and remember: even the wisest can make mistakes, but fools can profit. Time won’t stop; get up and keep moving forward.