特朗普威胁升级美伊冲突,黄金遭抛售创四日最大跌幅

Gate News 消息,本周地缘政治紧张局势引发黄金抛售。4月2日,美国总统唐纳德·特朗普发表讲话,宣布将在未来两到三周对伊朗采取“极其严厉的打击”,威胁打击伊朗发电厂和石油基础设施,导致现货黄金下跌2%,至每盎司4664.39美元,美国黄金期货下跌2.5%,至每盎司4691.10美元,结束连续四天上涨。

市场原本预期特朗普语气温和,黄金在经历3月份自2008年以来最差单月表现后出现反弹,但其强硬表态迅速逆转了市场情绪。讲话后,道琼斯指数期货下跌超260点,标普500指数期货下跌0.7%,纳斯达克100指数期货下跌0.8%。

此次黄金下跌的背后原因与油价飙升密切相关。特朗普言论引发布伦特原油上涨7.1%,至每桶108.29美元,西德克萨斯中质原油短时飙升至113美元以上。油价上涨推高通胀预期、美国国债收益率及美元汇率,而黄金本身不产生收益,在美元走强下吸引力下降。同时,白银、铂金和钯金也分别下跌4.6%、2.5%和1.4%,反映贵金属整体承压。

瑞银将2026年黄金平均价格预期从每盎司5200美元下调至5000美元,策略师乔尼·特维斯指出,未来几周金价可能仍存在波动,但年底目标维持每盎司5600美元。此外,特朗普签署行政命令,对完全由铝、钢或铜制成的产品征收高额关税,引发铝价触及近四年高位,伦敦金属交易所铜价上涨0.8%,报每吨12434.50美元。

投资者需关注中东地缘政治风险对贵金属和美元走势的连锁影响,以及油价和关税政策带来的市场波动压力,这将直接影响黄金及相关金属的短期行情和投资决策。

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