Gate News 消息，预测市场 Polymarket 在近期调整费用结构后，其每日费用和收入出现显著增长。3 月 30 日价格调整后的几天内，每日费用从约 36.3 万美元飙升至超过 100 万美元，收入（扣除激励后保留部分）最高一度达到 99.5 万美元，随后回落至约 89.9 万美元。费用增长主要源于平台将交易手续费从加密货币和体育扩展至金融、政治、经济、文化、天气和科技等类别，同时保持地缘政治和世界事件免收手续费。
此次调整反映出 Polymarket 在美国、欧洲及其他地区面临日益严格的监管压力下，尝试通过交易活动提升盈利能力和投资者兴趣。欧洲方面，匈牙利和葡萄牙已因担心平台属于无牌赌博而限制用户访问，阿根廷法院也下令全国禁用 Polymarket，理由是缺乏充分的身份和年龄验证。平台在全球已有 33 个国家/地区被屏蔽，而 Kalshi 报告显示其在 52 个司法管辖区遭到限制。在美国，至少 11 个州对预测市场采取法律行动，包括停止令和拟定新法规。
尽管面临监管挑战，Polymarket 和 Kalshi 仍在谋求扩张。据报道，两家公司均在筹备新一轮融资，估值可能达到约 200 亿美元。此外，3 月 24 日，两家公司针对精准押注和市场诚信问题，推出新交易限制措施以遏制内幕交易风险。
Polymarket 的费用扩张和收入增长显示，即便在监管环境趋严的背景下，预测市场仍在寻找盈利和合规平衡。未来，平台的发展将取决于其如何在全球监管框架下保持市场活跃度和投资者信任。
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