特朗普称零通胀遭打脸,美国消费者通胀预期创7个月新高

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Gate News 消息,美国最新数据显示,消费者对通胀的担忧正在升温,与特朗普总统声称“零通胀”的说法形成鲜明对比。根据 The Kobeissi Letter,3月份美国消费者通胀预期大幅上升0.7个百分点至6.2%,创自2025年8月以来的新高,也是自2025年4月以来最大单月涨幅。密歇根大学的1年期通胀预期指数同样上涨0.4个百分点至3.8%,进一步印证了价格焦虑正在加剧。

利率预期也随之上升。预计未来12个月利率将上调的消费者比例增加7.5个百分点至42.4%,显示通胀担忧正在蔓延至整体金融市场,而不仅限于食品和日常消费品价格。分析师指出,这种心理压力可能促使消费者调整支出和储蓄行为,对经济活动产生连锁影响。

油价飙升成为通胀加速的重要因素。美国原油价格已突破每桶100美元,The Kobeissi Letter预测,如果油价在当前水平维持两个月,消费者价格指数(CPI)通胀率可能达到约3.3%,将刷新自2024年5月以来的最高水平。经济合作与发展组织(OECD)也将2026年美国整体通胀预期上调至4.2%,并指出全球能源价格上涨可能导致二十国集团(G20)通胀率高于先前预测。

石油市场的扰动使得消费者通胀预期创下数月新高,显示政治宣传与经济现实之间的差距正在拉大。分析人士认为,如果能源价格继续维持高位,美国家庭将面临更高生活成本压力,而金融市场对货币政策的预期也可能随之调整,进一步影响比特币、以太坊等加密资产的投资情绪和市场波动。

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