高盛:美联储年内加息可能性较低,供应冲击规模小且局限

Gate News 消息,4 月 1 日,高盛分析师在最新报告中指出,自对伊战争爆发以来,美国联邦基金利率的市场定价出现剧烈波动,但今年加息的可能性依然较低。分析师表示,当前的供应冲击规模较小,且比以往引发通胀问题的冲击更为局限,油价涨幅也小于 20 世纪 70 年代的水平。此外,分析师认为,当前经济的起点使得通胀大范围外溢的可能性较低,且现有的货币政策起点也降低了加息的概率。高盛分析师强调:“美联储通常不会仅针对石油冲击而采取紧缩政策。”

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