Lido DAO 擬斥資 2000 萬回購 LDO,協議強勁難救幣價頹勢

LDO-5,81%
STETH-3,16%
ETH-3,5%

Lido DAO回購LDO

Lido DAO 於 3 月 28 日正式提案,計劃將金庫中持有的 10,000 枚 Lido Staked Ether(stETH)換購 LDO 代幣,以當前市值計約 2,000 萬美元,作為一次性回購行動。提案背景是 LDO 現報 0.30 美元,較 2021 年 8 月歷史高點 7.30 美元累跌 95.9%。

回購執行機制:分批授權、代幣持有者全程保留否決權

LDO相對ETH價格變化 (來源:Lido DAO)

Lido DAO 提案採取嚴格的分批執行框架,而非一次性在市場大量買入:

分批規模:共 10 批次,每批以 1,000 stETH(約 200 萬美元)執行換購

訂單策略:採用限價單或美元成本平均法(DCA),降低對市場的衝擊

批次審批:每批交易均須獨立獲得 DAO 批准,代幣持有者可投票阻止任一批次執行

透明度機制:每批完成後需提交結果報告,確認達標後方可啟動下一批次

值得關注的是,去年 11 月曾有 Lido DAO 成員提出 LDO 自動回購機制,但該提案至今未付諸實施。此次提案採取更謹慎的分批授權路線,顯示 DAO 在推動代幣回購議題上態度趨於務實,但執行時間表仍取決於後續多輪治理投票的結果。

LDO 幣價表現:協議領先地位未能反映於估值

根據 CoinGecko 數據,LDO 當前市值約 2.55 億美元,在加密市場中市值排名第 141 位。與此同時,Lido 依據 Dune Analytics 數據,在以太坊流動性質押市場仍以 23.2% 的以太幣質押份額位居第一。

這種「協議表現強勁、代幣定價低迷」的結構性分化,是 Lido DAO 提出此次回購的核心論據。LDO 相對 ETH 的匯率比值目前為 0.00016,處於過去兩年中位數的 37% 水準,DAO 認為這一偏離已非正常市場波動所能解釋。

不過,Lido 高達 23.2% 的質押市場份額,過去亦曾被以太坊生態研究者視為網路中心化的潛在風險,這一長期爭議可能持續對 LDO 估值形成結構性的折價壓力。

協議財務概況:收入承壓但成本管控改善

Lido DAO 預計 2025 年總收入降至 4,050 萬美元,年減約 23%;質押手續費收入約 3,740 萬美元,同樣年減 23%,主要反映質押獎勵率的整體下行趨勢。

面對收入壓力,DAO 強調底層運營體質正在改善:2025 年運營成本較 2024 年下降 13%;在整體市場回調期間,協議獎勵僅下降 20%,優於市場整體跌幅;手續費率亦從 5% 提升至 6.1% 以上,費用獲取能力持續強化。DAO 方面表示,「這種調整並非協議性能相應下降所致」,代幣價格的下滑與協議基本面並不掛鉤。

常見問題

Lido DAO 為何選擇此時提出 LDO 回購計劃?

Lido DAO 指出,LDO 相對 ETH 的匯率比值較過去兩年中位數低約 63%,已達歷史異常水準。回購計劃旨在藉由主動買入修正這一折價,而非依賴市場自然修復。此前去年 11 月的自動回購提案未獲實施,此次採取更具彈性的分批授權方式推進。

2,000 萬美元的回購規模能否有效支撐 LDO 幣價?

2,000 萬美元約相當於 LDO 當前 2.55 億美元市值的 7.8%。從規模而言,若順利執行,理論上具備一定的買盤支撐效果。然而,最終價格走勢仍取決於整體市場環境、代幣持有者的拋售動態,以及每批回購能否順利通過 DAO 的治理投票。

Lido 在以太坊質押市場的主導地位是否會影響 LDO 的長期估值?

Lido 的 23.2% 質押份額使其長期以來面臨「以太坊網路中心化風險」的批評。這一爭議可能持續對市場給予 LDO 一定的估值折讓,即便協議收入和成本結構持續改善,外部對集中化風險的擔憂短期內難以完全消除。

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