Gate News 消息,3 月 27 日,Polymarket 新增预测事件"特朗普政府在何时终止对鲍威尔刑事调查"。数据显示,4 月 30 日前终止概率为 39%,6 月 30 日前终止概率为 56%。该市场以美国联邦政府官方信息或广泛可信媒体报道为主要结算依据,若调查在对应时间前被明确终止且未进入指控或起诉阶段,则判定为"是",反之则为"否"。此次调查源于鲍威尔在 2025 年 6 月就美联储总部翻修问题向国会作证的相关内容。现任总统特朗普此前在采访中表示暂无立即推进相关调查的计划,并强调美联储独立性,其团队成员亦支持鲍威尔完成任期。
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