Gate News 消息,3 月 23 日,Polymarket"原油(CL)在 3 月底前达到 90 美元"事件概率升至 82%,日内涨幅 67%;同时,"原油在 3 月底前达到 100 美元"概率降至 36%,日内跌幅 52%。
背景方面,特朗普表示伊朗已同意不发展核武器,并称霍尔木兹海峡或由多方共同管控,若相关协议达成油价或出现明显波动;同时中东局势仍存在不确定性,市场对短期油价区间预期出现明显分化。
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