Gate News 消息，3 月 11 日，预测市场 Polymarket 上，过去四小时内，一个政治市场 67% 胜率的明星账户持续加仓「美伊会在三月停火」事件，共押注 2.71 万美元，开仓均价 31.2¢，现价 30.5¢，账户地址为 0xbaa2bcb5439e985ce4ccf815b4700027d1b92c73。
特朗普在公开讲话中反复表示战争会结束，但今日伊朗继续扩大打击范围至海湾阿拉伯国家：迪拜和巴林响起空袭警报，沙特称在东部产油区上空击落两架无人机，科威特国民警卫队称击落六架无人机。
特朗普和以色列在战争结束时间和条件上并不完全一致。以色列外长 Gideon Saar 表示，这场战争会在「以色列和美国决定的时候结束」，但他拒绝承诺会很快结束；同时他强调，以色列的目标是削弱伊朗的核能力和导弹能力，并创造条件让伊朗人民未来有机会推翻现政权。
注：根据该交易者过往交易画像判断，其并非押注事件是否实际发生，存在开仓后在某一时间点止盈、止损的行为。
Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to
Disclaimer.
Articoli correlati
Polymarket in Talks with CFTC to Bring Main Exchange Back to U.S.
Gate News message, April 28 — Polymarket is exploring a path to bring its main exchange back to the United States through discussions with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), according to Bloomberg.
The prediction market platform re-entered the U.S. market last year after acquiring QCE
GateNews2h fa
Polymarket Launches CLOB v2 with $1M Liquidity Incentive Program
Gate News message, April 28 — Polymarket announced the launch of its upgraded CLOB v2 trading platform. The API has begun accepting orders, and the public website will resume access shortly.
The platform is offering a $1 million liquidity incentive program, with $500,000 allocated to the first
GateNews4h fa
Trump Softens Stance on Prediction Markets, Says US Cannot Be Left Behind
Gate News message, April 28 — U.S. President Donald Trump has significantly softened his position on prediction markets just days after criticizing them. Trump stated, "I know some very smart people who like prediction markets. Many other
GateNews6h fa
Polymarket's 38 Web3 Partners Revealed: Infrastructure Behind Information Pricing
Gate News message, April 28 — RootData has mapped out Polymarket's 38 Web3 business partners, spanning oracles, cross-chain assets, exchanges, wallets, and application layers. The ecosystem operates across three distinct infrastructure tiers: oracle layer, settlement layer, and user interface layer.
GateNews7h fa
Kalshi CEO: Institutional Risk Transfer Market Could Reach $10-15 Trillion, Up From Current $1-1.5 Trillion
Gate News message, April 28 — Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour outlined the potential for institutional risk transfer markets following the platform's first customized commodities trade. Mansour stated that the company has built a community of leading forecasters who provide price benchmarks for risk
GateNews8h fa
Polymarket Predicts 85% Probability Pharos Token FDV Exceeds $500M on Launch Day
Gate News message, April 28 — Polymarket data shows the market assigns an 85% probability that Pharos token's fully diluted valuation (FDV) will exceed $500 million on the day following its launch. The probability of exceeding $300 million stands at 92%, while the chance of surpassing $800 million i
GateNews8h fa
