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🔥 U.S. PPI for January came in higher than expectations
▪️ PPI YoY (: 2.9% )Forecast: 2.6%; Previous: 3.0%(
▪️ PPI MoM ): 0.5% (Forecast: 0.3%; Previous: 0.4%)
▪️ Core PPI MoM (: 0.8% )Forecast: 0.3%; Previous: 0.6%(
▪️ Core PPI YoY ): 3.6% (Forecast: 3.0%; Previous: 3.3%)
The data indicate increased price pressure at the producer level, which could signal a risk of inflation acceleration in the coming months.
📊 What this means for the markets:
— The probability of a quick rate cut by the Fed decreases
— Pressure on risk assets may intensify
— Bond yields could receive support
— The crypto market remains sensitive to macroeconomic statistics
Opinion A:
A strong PPI is a warning sign for risk markets. If inflationary pressure at the producer level persists, the Fed will maintain a tight policy longer, delaying a full liquidity influx into the crypto market and reinforcing the accumulation phase instead of a quick reversal.