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Trump's tariff reversal! China and the US are willing to negotiate tariffs, Bitcoin price soars to 120,000 dollars.
Trump's tariff policy suddenly softens, and Bitcoin price predictions welcome a turning point. The easing of US-China trade rhetoric has driven Bitcoin price predictions from 102,000 USD big pump to 115,000 USD, with analysts believing that Trump's tariff drama is a deliberate arrangement. Polymarket data shows that the likelihood of Trump's tariffs being implemented on November 1 is only 8%, and Bitcoin price predictions may break historical highs.
Trump's tariff 180-degree turnaround ignites market rebound
(Source: White House)
Trump's tariff policy saw a dramatic turnaround on October 12, as both the US and China governments released signals of easing tensions. The Chinese Ministry of Commerce stated that it is "ready to strengthen dialogue" and is considering adding "license exemptions" in its rare earth export policy. The global trade tensions triggered by Trump's tariffs seem to be turning a corner, directly impacting Bitcoin price predictions.
Trump posted on Truth Social on October 12: "Don't worry about China, everything will be fine! Chairman Xi is just in a bad mood. The U.S. wants to help China, not hurt it!" This stands in stark contrast to Trump's tough stance when he announced tariffs on Friday, and it also caused the Bitcoin price forecast to flip instantly.
· The Correlation Effect of Trump Tariffs and Bitcoin Price Predictions
On October 10, after Trump's tariff announcement imposing an additional 100% tariff on China, the cryptocurrency market experienced the most severe 24-hour liquidation event in history. Bitcoin price prediction briefly fell to $102,000, while Ethereum plummeted below $4,100. However, after Trump's comments on tariffs softened, the Bitcoin price prediction quickly rebounded to $115,000.
Impact of Trump's Tariff Policy Timeline on Bitcoin Price Predictions:
October 10: Trump announces 100% tariffs on China, Bitcoin price forecast drops to $102,000
October 11: The market digests the negative impact of Trump's tariffs, Bitcoin price prediction consolidates.
October 12: Trump's remarks on tariffs soften, Bitcoin price forecast big pump to $115,000
November 1: Trump's tariff was originally scheduled to take effect, but the current implementation probability is only 8%.
Investment analyst Corbesi Communications stated: "If Trump eases the situation on Sunday, the market will see a big pump on Monday. The market is still reacting very strongly to Trump's tariff-related posts." This highlights how Trump's tariff policy dominates short-term Bitcoin price predictions.
Bitcoin Price Prediction 2025: Trump Tariffs as the Biggest Variable
Bitcoin price prediction analysts generally believe that Trump tariffs may be carefully orchestrated. The market crash on October 10 was "perfectly timed" — Wall Street was closed for the weekend, leaving only the 24/7 operating cryptocurrency market to bear the brunt. After Trump's softened rhetoric on tariffs on Sunday, Bitcoin price predictions have recovered lost ground, and the traditional stock market may remain unscathed when it opens on Monday.
· Trump Tariff Operation Mode Revealed: Why Always on Weekends?
Mert, the CEO of Helius Labs, pointed out that the cryptocurrency market has become an "emotional barometer" for Trump's tariff policy. Trump's tariff-related statements tend to be released on weekends, allowing Bitcoin prices to absorb the impact first and protecting the S&P 500 index from volatility.
Three Main Features of Trump's Tariff Weekend Drama:
October 10th bearish news: Trump's tough tariff statement triggers a big pump in cryptocurrencies.
Weekend private digestion: Bitcoin price prediction faces liquidation while traditional markets are closed.
October 12 release of easing signals: Trump’s softened rhetoric on tariffs boosts Bitcoin price prediction rebound
Crypto Rover joked: "It would be very frustrating to liquidate everyone just to push the price to new highs... To be honest, it seems quite possible." This suggests that Trump's tariff fluctuations may be aimed at clearing leverage, allowing Bitcoin price predictions to rise on a healthier foundation.
Polymarket Data: Probability of Trump's Tariff Implementation on November 1st is Only 8%
(Source: Polymarket)
Trump's tariffs were originally set to take effect on November 1, but Polymarket bettors believe the likelihood of implementation has plummeted from 26% to 8%. This means the market views Trump's tariffs as a negotiating chip rather than an actual policy, which constitutes a significant positive for Bitcoin price forecasts.
White House officials also hinted that the market "will calm down this week," and Vice President JD Vance revealed that Trump is willing to remain rational in negotiations with China. If the Trump tariff crisis is resolved, Bitcoin price predictions may welcome a new wave of pump.
· Trump Tariff Bitcoin Price Prediction Three Major Scenario Analyses
Trump's tariff policy shift presents three possible paths for Bitcoin price predictions, and investors should adjust their strategies based on the progress of US-China trade.
Scenario 1: Trump completely withdraws tariffs (Probability 70%)
Bitcoin price prediction breaks through 120,000 USD, challenging historical highs
Trump's tariff crisis resolved, risk assets rebound across the board.
Ethereum may break through $4,500, and the altcoin season is starting.
Scenario 2: Partial Implementation of Trump Tariffs (Probability 22%)
Bitcoin price prediction fluctuates between 105,000 to 115,000 USD.
Trump's tariffs maintain certain items, and the market continues to digest uncertainty.
Investors are taking a wait-and-see approach, and trading volumes are shrinking.
Scenario 3: Trump tariffs take effect as scheduled on November 1 (Probability 8%)
Bitcoin price prediction may test the $100,000 support again.
Trump's tariffs fully implemented trigger a new round of liquidation.
But in the long run, it is still a buying opportunity, similar to the trade war in 2018.
Bitcoin Technical Analysis
(Source: CoinGecko)
As of the time of writing, the trading price of Bitcoin is 114,359 USD, and Ethereum has recovered above the 4,100 USD mark. Ethereum has risen more than 20% from Friday's low, showing that the softening of Trump tariffs has significantly boosted market confidence.
Bitcoin Price Prediction Key Technical Levels:
Strong support: $102,000 (Friday Trump tariff bearish low)
Current price level: $114,359 (bounced back after Sunday easing)
Recent resistance: $115,000 (psychological barrier)
Target price: $120,000 (historical high)
Investment firm Bitwise advisor Jeff Park believes that the APEC meeting between Trump and Xi Jinping "will definitely happen." He argued that Trump's tariffs are not the real focus; Trump cares more about "historical memorabilia, photo opportunities, and luxury ceremonies." If the meeting goes smoothly, the Trump tariff issue could be completely resolved, and Bitcoin price predictions may see strong upward momentum.
Bitcoin Price Prediction Strategy: How to Respond to Trump Tariff Fluctuations
Trump's tariff weekend drama reveals a reality: the cryptocurrency market has become a "shock absorber" for traditional finance. Investors should seize the volatility opportunities triggered by Trump's tariffs, rather than panic sell.
Three Major Strategies for Responding to Trump Tariffs and Bitcoin Price Predictions:
October 10th position reduction: Trump's tariff statements are often released on weekends, moderately reducing leverage.
October 11 low point accumulation: decisively buy when signals of Trump tariff easing appear
Long-term holding: Trump's tariffs short-term fluctuations do not change the long-term upward trend of Bitcoin price predictions.
Corbesi Communications analysts emphasized: "The market's reaction to Trump tariff tweets remains very strong." This means that tweets related to Trump tariffs will continue to dominate Bitcoin price predictions, and investors should closely monitor Truth Social dynamics.
The cryptocurrency market has proven its resilience. The liquidation triggered by Trump tariffs was severe, but Bitcoin price predictions quickly reversed in a V-shape, indicating that funds have not truly exited. Traditional markets opening on Monday may continue the upward trend, pushing Bitcoin price predictions to break through $115,000.